The mid-70s was of the earliest mentions of the problem:
In the mid-1970's, during trajectography experiments with the French SAVVAN System (Système Automatique de Vérification en Vol des Aides a la Navigation, i.e. Automatic In-flight Navigation Aids Checking System) positional 'jumps' were noticed when switching between Distance Measurement Equipment (DME) transponders located in different countries. Once more, the errors could only be attributed to incompatibility of the coordinates of ground aids.[1]
This "incompatibility of the coordinates" does not bode well for international cross-border/region navigation. But is it a big jump for a worst-case spherical scenario? It is my understanding that calculating the difference was a mathematical challenge that was solved by computers doing iterative calculations, but the rule of thumb is ±0.3%.[2]
That means when flying at 450 knots ground speed (B737, A320), it will take only around 40 minutes of flying to get an Unable RNP message in RNP-1 airspace, or in other words an uncertainty of 1 NM—that is if the plane's and published datums differ by Earth's oblateness.
There was a time when the lateral separation over the Atlantic was 120 NM, and it wasn't unheard of for 1–2% of the planes to show up after the crossing +40 NM off track.[3] With the continuous rise in air travel, and thus the need for reduced separation, both in oceanic and continental airspace, came the need for more accurate navigation. It's unthinkable to have the ATC nudge every single plane back on track by giving minute vectors when the airspaces are running near capacity.
Notable mentions:
GPS If GPS, augmented or not, didn't use a truer shape, applications that need geometric altitude wouldn't be feasible, e.g. LPV approaches and EGPWS. Related: Does altimeter setting affect the vertical guidance in a LPV approach?
INS Inertial navigation already must account for a spheroid shape for the purposes of finding the local vertical (example Sperry patent), without which, a built-in error of ~12 NM would be unavoidable.[4]
- Accelerometers, like bubble levels, can measure either acceleration, or level, but not both at the same time. So the basic principle is fixing the accelerometers in space, and accounting for the gravitation (via e.g. torque motors based on Earth's local radius, or computationally);[5] any simple erecting mechanism will be subject to acceleration (affecting the measurements), like a glass of water for attitude indication.
RNAV Even pre-WGS-84 adoption, in RNAV systems the patents already show the engineers accounting for the spheroid shape, as in this Honeywell patent from the 80s.
ATC For air traffic control/management, it was in the 80s with the more stringent specifications that more accurate surveillance was needed—the issue also affects the projection of moving targets.[6]
1. European Organization for the Safety of Air Navigation (EUROCONTROL) and Institute of Geodesy and Navigation (IfEN). "WGS 84 Implementation Manual." (1998). (PDF)
2. Geyer, Michael. Earth-referenced aircraft navigation and surveillance analysis. No. DOT-VNTSC-FAA-16-12. John A. Volpe National Transportation Systems Center (US), 2016. (PDF)
3. White, A. "Air Traffic Control Separation Minima and Navigational Capability." The Journal of Navigation 24.4 (1971): 443-456.
4. Pitman, George R., and J. D. Trimmer. "Inertial guidance." American Journal of Physics 30.12 (1962): 937-937.
5. King, A. D. "Inertial navigation-forty years of evolution." GEC review 13.3 (1998): 140-149. (PDF)
6. Mulholland, Robert G. On the Application of Stereographic Projection to the Representation of Moving Targets in Air Traffic Control Systems. Federal Aviation Administration Technical Center, 1985. (PDF)