Is there a fixed amount, or maybe just the average, power used to mine one single bitcoin coin or single bitcoin cash coin?
How low can the price fall until miners start red numbers?
Is there a fixed amount, or maybe just the average, power used to mine one single bitcoin coin or single bitcoin cash coin?
How low can the price fall until miners start red numbers?
According to Blockchain.info, the total hash power is about 20.1 million TH/s.
If this is all done by the most efficient AntMiner S9 hardware, at 13.5 TH/s, then there are around 1.5 million devices.
Each device draws around 30KWh each day, and they are probably paying around 8 cents KWh, for a daily cost of about $2.40 USD each.
So:
$2.40 per day * 1.5 million devices = $3.7 million daily electricity cost
There are around 144 blocks mined every day, with a value of 12.5 BTC, which currently goes for about $9,000.
So the total income is about $16.2 million every day.
144 blocks * 12.5 BTC * $X cost == $3.7 million electricity cost
solve for X:
X = $2,055
So, when the price of a BTC gets close to $2,000, miners will no longer be able to even pay their electrical bills. Then there is hardware, staff, maintenance, overhead, profit, etc.
I assumed the most efficient S9 hardware, but some devices are more wasteful. It is possible that more efficient miners will be coming out too.
I used some of the lowest US costs for electricity. Its likely that costs in other countries are less. I also assumed perfectly efficient power supplies, but checking on some online posts, it seems real-world power consumption may be 30% higher than what I estimated.
There is no fixed amount of power to mine a single Bitcoin. Theoretically, even if your hash rate was 1Hash/s, you could stand to solve the hash for a bitcoin block faster than someone with a hash rate of 20EHash/s.
Whether or not the miners start seeing red numbers is dependent on how much the miners are spending to run their mining rig (i.e. equipment costs + electricity costs + maintenance costs, etc).
It all depends on the mining hardware.
Here's a decent calculator. Mining Calculator