Assume uniform hashing. Given that $\frac{n}{m}<1$ where $n,m$ are integers representing number of elements and slots/buckets respectively. We are trying to find the number of probes in unsuccessful search for a free slot. Let us define the random variable $X$ to be the number of probes made in an unsuccessful search, and let us also define the event $A_i$ , for $i = 1, 2,\cdots,$ to be the event that there is an ith probe and it is to an occupied slot. $X$ is defined in terms of intersection of events $A_1, A_2, \cdots, A_{i-1}$, so $A_i$ means the event that there is an $i$th probe and it's to and occupied slot. Then probability of X or Probes is given as follows:
$$Pr[X(Probes)\ge i] = P[A_1 \cap A_2 \cdots A_{i-1}] = Pr[A_1] \times \cdots \times Pr[A_{i-1} | A_1 \cap \cdots A_{i-2}]$$
I would like to derive the formula below based on my question please here. If we have $n$ elements and $m$ slots to fill those elements in, where both $n, m$ are integers, such that $\frac{n}{m} < 1$, then
\begin{align} P[x\ge i]=\overset{probe>=1}{\frac nm}\times \overset{probe>=2}{\frac{(n-1)}{(m-1)}}\times\overset{probe>=3}{\frac{(n-2)}{(m-2)}}\times\overset{\cdots}{\cdots}\times\overset{Prbe>=i-1}{\frac{(n-i+2)}{(m-i+2)}}\\ Pr[X \ge i] = \frac{n}{m}\times \frac{n-1}{m-1} \times \cdots \frac{n-i+2}{m-i+2} \le (\frac{n}{m})^{i-1} \label{tag1}\tag1\\ \end{align}
The reason we decrease $m$ by $1$ each time above because once we use a slot we can not use it again. $Pr[X\ge i]$ means the probability of not hitting a slot as it's already occupied by another item. For example, $Pr[X\ge 1]$ means the probability of having at least one collision given $m$ slots.
Attempt: I see that for $i=1$ for example, we have
$$Pr[X \ge 1] = \frac{n}{m}$$
Problem 1: I am not sure why in the \ref{tag1} we have for the $(i-1)$ probe $\frac{n-i+2}{m-i+2}$ and not $\frac{n-i+1}{m-i+1}$ for the $i-1$ probe, where I think $Pr[X\ge (i-1)] = \frac{n-i+1}{m-i+1}$ and not $Pr[X\ge (i-1)] = \frac{n-i+2}{m-i+2}$ please?
Problem 2: Why we have $\le (\frac{n}{m})^{i-1}$ above in \ref{tag1} and not $\le (\frac{n}{m})^{i}$ please?
Problem 3: Why $Pr[X\ge i] = P[A_1 \cap A_2 \cdots A_{i-1}]$ and not $Pr[X\ge i] = P[A_1 \cap A_2 \cdots A_{m}]$? I see that if $Pr[X\ge 1] = P[A_1 \cap A_2 \cdots A_{m}]$, so I am not sure why it's $P[A_1 \cap A_2 \cdots A_{i-1}]$ please? So this means $A_m$ is the event that we have already searched all slots and arrived at the last slot that is also occupied as I understand based on how $X$ was defined.